Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.000707 0.000806 0.000911 0.001030 0.001161 0.001301 0.001461
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.000562 0.000701 0.000859 0.001050 0.001273 0.001524 0.001826
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000468 0.000621 0.000802 0.001031 0.001309 0.001633 0.002035
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000392 0.000552 0.000750 0.001008 0.001332 0.001721 0.002219
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000345 0.000511 0.000724 0.001010 0.001381 0.001837 0.002433
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000310 0.000481 0.000707 0.001021 0.001438 0.001961 0.002658
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000268 0.000435 0.000666 0.000996 0.001443 0.002017 0.002797
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000231 0.000394 0.000626 0.000966 0.001440 0.002061 0.002918
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000207 0.000369 0.000606 0.000964 0.001471 0.002148 0.003096
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000186 0.000347 0.000589 0.000963 0.001503 0.002235 0.003275
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000166 0.000323 0.000567 0.000951 0.001518 0.002299 0.003423
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000147 0.000298 0.000541 0.000932 0.001522 0.002346 0.003549
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000137 0.000290 0.000541 0.000955 0.001587 0.002481 0.003801
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000128 0.000281 0.000539 0.000972 0.001644 0.002608 0.004044
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000113 0.000261 0.000516 0.000955 0.001649 0.002657 0.004179
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000099 0.000240 0.000491 0.000933 0.001644 0.002693 0.004294
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000091 0.000229 0.000481 0.000935 0.001677 0.002784 0.004490
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000084 0.000221 0.000477 0.000945 0.001722 0.002892 0.004713
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000074 0.000203 0.000453 0.000921 0.001710 0.002917 0.004813
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000064 0.000185 0.000429 0.000894 0.001692 0.002929 0.004894
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000058 0.000176 0.000418 0.000891 0.001715 0.003003 0.005069
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000053 0.000167 0.000409 0.000890 0.001739 0.003081 0.005249
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000157 0.000396 0.000879 0.001745 0.003130 0.005388